- Bullish RSI divergence on BTC and ARB has built since early 2025, with price making lower lows while momentum makes higher lows, hinting at seller exhaustion.
- Bitcoin’s structure above major supports plus ETF inflows positions it to challenge and potentially clear $100K if divergence confirms.
- Arbitrum’s growing L2 ecosystem and TVL suggest ARB could outperform in percentage terms if risk appetite returns and the divergence breaks upward.
The ever-volatile crypto landscape, technical indicators often serve as the compass for savvy investors navigating choppy waters. A recent analysis by renowned trader Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) has spotlighted a compelling bullish divergence on Bitcoin (BTC) and Arbitrum (ARB) charts, signaling a potential shift from consolidation to aggressive accumulation. The insight arrives amid a broader market pause, with BTC hovering around $95,000 after a year of highs and corrections.
Bitcoin: ETF Flows, Macro Tailwinds, and a Path Above $100K
Bullish divergence occurs when an asset’s price charts lower lows, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a momentum oscillator—forms higher lows. This discrepancy suggests weakening selling pressure and building buyer interest beneath the surface. Van de Poppe’s TradingView charts illustrate this vividly: BTC’s price dipped from mid-2025 peaks, yet RSI has carved an ascending trough since January, encapsulated in a red support zone around key moving averages. Similarly, ARB mirrors the pattern, with its RSI decoupling from price declines, hinting at undervaluation in the Layer-2 scaling solution.
For Bitcoin, this divergence aligns with macroeconomic tailwinds. As institutional inflows via ETFs continue—surpassing $30 billion in 2025—and regulatory clarity from the U.S. SEC bolsters confidence, the stage is set for a breakout above $100,000. Van de Poppe notes, “Once this one turns, that’s going to bring a massive upwards move on the markets.” Historical precedents, like the 2023 divergence that preceded a 150% surge, underscore the reliability of this signal in bull cycles.
Arbitrum: L2 Growth, DeFi Demand, and Potential Run Toward New Highs
Arbitrum, as an Ethereum Layer-2 powerhouse, amplifies the optimism. With over $15 billion in total value locked (TVL) and innovations in perpetuals trading via protocols like GMX, ARB’s ecosystem thrives on real utility. The token’s divergence since early 2025 reflects smart money positioning for Ethereum’s Dencun upgrade synergies, potentially driving ARB toward $5 amid DeFi’s resurgence. As cross-chain bridges and RWAs (real-world assets) gain traction, ARB could outpace BTC’s gains, offering leveraged exposure to altcoin rotations.
Positioning Strategies for the 2025–2026 Crypto Supercycle
Yet, caution tempers enthusiasm. Low volume in the current range demands confirmation via a decisive close above the 50-day EMA. Geopolitical tensions and Fed rate decisions could extend the squeeze, but on-chain metrics—rising active addresses and whale accumulations—paint a resilient picture. This divergence isn’t just a blip; it’s a whisper of the next leg up in the 2025-2026 supercycle. For traders, it’s a call to position selectively, blending spot holdings with options for asymmetric upside. As crypto matures, such technical harmonies remind us: markets reward the patient observer.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.
