Bitcoin Set for April Breakout? Analyst Targets $109K by Month-End

  • The falling wedge pattern signals a bullish breakout likely in early April.
  • Whales accumulate while retail traders wait on the market sidelines.

Bitcoin may be on the verge of a significant breakout after months of consolidation. Analysts expect a potential move toward a new all-time high of $109,000 by the end of April. While large holders increased their positions, retail traders remained cautious. Recent price action and technical indicators suggest a decisive shift could come soon.

Falling Wedge Pattern Signals Potential Breakout

Crypto analyst Captain Faibik stated that Bitcoin has been consolidating in a falling wedge pattern for four months. This technical setup typically indicates a bullish reversal. Faibik said Bitcoin could break above the wedge in early April, pushing prices toward $109,000 before the month ends.

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Faibik supports this analysis, which shows Bitcoin testing the wedge’s upper boundary. A confirmed breakout above this trendline would signal a bullish continuation. He added that substantial accumulation from large holders during the correction reinforces this outlook.

Price Analysis: Resistance Holds, Support Gets Retested

As of reporting time, Bitcoin is trading at $85,011, up 1.14% in the past 24 hours. The price remains below $86,000, with visible resistance near $88,000. This resistance zone previously capped upward momentum. Support has formed around $78,000, a level tested several times throughout March.

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The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 46.89, indicating weakening bullish momentum. A move above the 50 mark is needed to revive upward pressure. Analysts note that reclaiming $84,000 is key to retesting the $88,000 and $92,000 levels. A drop below $78,000 could open a path toward $74,000. Overall, trading volume remains modest at 1.57K, reflecting low activity and hesitation among market participants.

Institutional Accumulation Outpaces Retail Activity

After reaching a record high above $100,000 earlier in 2025, Bitcoin saw a decline below $90,000. A report by Coincryptonews linked this pullback to broader market uncertainty and reduced institutional inflows. Data from CryptoQuant showed over 89,000 BTC were sold by long-term holders within 30 days of the peak. This selling contributed to declining momentum and lower open interest, which dropped from $57 billion to $24.5 billion.

Despite these headwinds, accumulation continues among whales. Captain Faibik emphasized that experienced players are steadily increasing their exposure. This contrasts with retail traders, who remain cautious and await deeper corrections. Bitcoin sentiment levels have returned to September 2024, just before the last rally.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.

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