- DOGE’s $0.50 zone holds $380M in shorts, signaling breakout potential.
- DOGE/BTC support and Elliott Wave structure favor bullish continuation.
Dogecoin (DOGE) is approaching a critical technical setup that may define its next move. Alphractal’s liquidation heatmap shows a large liquidity cluster near the $0.50 level, valued at over $380 million.Â
This level formed during DOGE’s previous rally and represents a concentration of short positions. If selling pressure weakens, analysts say these shorts could fuel a breakout. Historical data reveals similar setups preceded major DOGE rallies.
Before its last surge, DOGE consolidated near lows before a sharp move higher. The current chart mirrors that formation, suggesting a potential reversal. A breakout through this liquidity wall may lead to renewed bullish activity, mainly if momentum builds above the $0.50 mark.
DOGE/BTC Ratio and Memecoin Sector Show Divergence
DOGE/BTC is nearing a critical support zone, resembling the pattern seen before the 2021 bull run. Alphractal noted that accumulated liquidation levels remain heavily skewed toward short positions, increasing the odds of a price reversal.
The broader memecoin sector is showing mixed performance. The memecoin index has rebounded, now exceeding its 2021 market value, but Open Interest remains limited at $3.2 billion. Daily trading volume across memecoins is just $12 billion, much lower than Bitcoin or Ethereum.
A comparison chart shows BTCUSDT outpacing the memecoin index, with divergence widening since early this year.
Despite this underperformance, analysts believe memecoins could regain momentum if Bitcoin continues to climb. Historically, bull cycles in BTC often spark speculative rallies in lower-cap assets like DOGE.
Technical Structure Points to Potential Elliott Wave Rally
DOGE is holding a long-standing support zone highlighted in green, which has acted as a consolidation area since 2021. The current price structure aligns with a potential Elliott Wave pattern. According to the analysis, DOGE may be completing Wave 4, with Wave 5 likely to target higher levels.
Supporting indicators include the 50-week and 200-week moving averages, both of which are aligned under the current price. Momentum indicators like the MACD suggest bullish strength may be returning, though confirmation is needed. Since late 2022, DOGE has formed higher lows, reflecting gradual accumulation.
A strong rebound from the support region could validate this technical setup. Analysts indicate that as long as DOGE holds above this zone, a continuation higher remains possible. If confirmed, the next leg could challenge the $0.50 liquidity level and initiate a broader trend reversal.
Dogecoin is positioned at a technical crossroads, with rising short interest and critical support levels converging. While memecoins lag significant crypto assets, DOGE’s structure and historical behavior suggest that a breakout remains possible.
Disclaimer:Â This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.