Joao Wedson’s Bearish Ethereum Strategy: Will ETH Break Below $1,500 or Rebound to $2,300?

• Ethereum’s weak momentum suggests a potential bearish continuation in the coming weeks.
• Joao Wedson’s strategy capitalized on market cycles and technical indicators.

Joao Wedson’s Ethereum short remains active, and he continues to have solid reasons for it. As Ethereum hovers around $1783, it’s precariously positioned above a fragile support zone. Wedson notes that a drop below $1500 is entirely plausible, and current price action mirrors past cycles that just zoomed out and turned down a notch. 

Source: TradingView

He highlights key levels: the stop at $2590.16, take profit at $1000, and a break-even zone around $2998.79. For now, he suggests that the safest approach for most investors could be dollar-cost averaging (DCA), signaling a cautious, steady strategy amid uncertainty.

Data-Driven Shorts and Bearish Indicators

Before Ethereum’s sharp drop from above $4,000, Wedson was well-positioned, entering short positions at $4,057 and again at $2,888. His method relies on a mix of Sentiment Data, Derivatives, and Alpha Metrics, as well as years of trading experience.

Source: TradingView

While many were betting on rallies, Wedson observed bearish signs, such as RSI weakness and an unusually high prolonged exposure. These indicators signaled that Ethereum’s upside potential was limited, and the market confirmed his assessment when Ethereum plunged to $3,322 after failing to break $4,100.

Post-Merge Market Dynamics and Whale Behavior

Wedson’s bearish outlook extended beyond technical indicators. After Ethereum’s merge event, he noticed significant sell-offs by long-term whales, some of whom had held positions for over five years. Retail demand didn’t support this large-scale offloading, confirming his bearish thesis. 

Ethereum’s loss of market share to competing blockchains like Solana and TRON compounded the situation, weakening Ethereum’s dominance in the market. Wedson pointed to critical risk metrics such as the Sharpe Ratio, ETHBTC, and NMR, pointing to diminishing Ethereum momentum. 

Ethereum Price Analysis: Is a Reversal on the Horizon?

After months of a persistent downtrend, Ethereum shows promising signs of a potential reversal. The price has recently bounced off key support levels near $1,770, indicating that bulls might be regaining control. The focus now is on the $2,200 level, as a break and sustained hold above this zone could signal the start of a new uptrend.

Source: TradingView

If Ethereum manages to reclaim $2,200 and establish it as support, it could pave the way for a substantial rally toward the $2,500 to $2,800 range. The price action is currently consolidating within a range, and a breakout above the upper boundary of this consolidation pattern could trigger further upward momentum.Recently, we reported that Analyst Ali Martinez maintains an optimistic outlook, reaffirming that the $2,300 target for Ethereum is still achievable. He believes that the broader market pressure impacting all cryptocurrencies is temporary and that Ethereum’s long-term prospects remain strong.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.