- XRP’s 6 out of 7 timeframes sit bearish below the 21 EMA, fueling short-term downside fears toward $1.90 support.
- The lone monthly chart remains bullish above 21 EMA – the macro trend that historically overrides noise for explosive rallies.
- Egrag Crypto eyes 65-70% odds for $13 breakout in 3-6 months; ignore higher-TF momentum at your peril, no second chances.
December 1, 2025, and XRP is nursing wounds from a brutal 7% plunge to $2.04 – its lowest since early December lows – as $600M in crypto liquidations rip through the market. Blame it on fading ETF hype, a strengthening dollar, and whispers of renewed SEC scrutiny post-Trump’s crypto pivot. Yet, amid the blood, @egragcrypto drops a thread that’s equal parts warning and war cry: XRP’s 21 EMA analysis across seven timeframes reveals a tale of two trends – short-term terror, macro mastery.
The verdict? One signal matters most right now: Six timeframes (4H, 1D, etc.) are bearish below the 21 EMA, a classic red flag for near-term pain. Price action echoes this, with XRP testing the $1.90-$1.95 “line in the sand” – Egrag’s cited 21-month EMA at ~$1.907 acting as do-or-die support. A monthly close below? Capitulation city, potentially dragging to $1.55-$1.77 double-bottom zone. Short-term fear is in TA, and it’s deafening.
But here’s the plot twist: That seventh timeframe – the monthly – stays defiantly bullish above the 21 EMA. Egrag hammers it home: Short-term noise is just that. The macro trend is the intrepid pointer, validating the $9-$13 roadmap. Probability? 65-70% for $13 in the next 3-6 months, he estimates, if higher-TF momentum kicks in. “It won’t give second chances,” Egrag cautions – a nod to XRP’s history where ignoring the monthly EMA led to missed 414% surges in 2021.On-chain echoes the macro bet. Whale accumulation spikes 12% week-over-week, exchange outflows hit 2025 highs, and Ripple’s stablecoin RLUSD launch (with 1B tokens minted) signals real utility ramp-up. Add 21Shares’ XRP ETF eyeing $125M Day 1 inflows, and the setup mirrors pre-2021 decoupling from BTC’s slumps.
Risks loom: A deeper BTC correction to $80K could test $1.85, and regulatory fog persists. But Egrag’s macro zoom-out isn’t blind faith – it’s pattern recognition from cycles where XRP printed generational wealth post-EMA holds. XRPFamily, stay sharp. Short-term pain? Buckle up. Macro road to $13? Eyes on the monthly prize. The bears are loud, but history whispers: Zoom out, or get left behind.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.
