XRP Could Reach $6 Says EGRAG Crypto Using Past Cycle Comparisons

  • EGRAG Crypto predicts XRP may rally 2.4× from current levels.
  • Gaussian Channel math indicates a $5.50–$6 price projection zone.
  • Past cycle analysis shows smaller drawdowns and reduced volatility.

EGRAG Crypto, a market analyst known for data-based technical analysis, projected that XRP could reach between $5.50 and $6.00 in its next upward phase. The analysis uses the Gaussian Channel on a two-week chart and historical cycle patterns to suggest the continuation of long-term growth.

The analyst based this view on a comparative study of XRP’s past performance. During the 2017 rally, XRP rose by nearly 3,700%. In the current market cycle, the asset has gained around 370%. 

image 544
Source: TradingView

EGRAG Crypto proposed that if the final leg achieves roughly 10% of the previous cycle’s growth, XRP could still experience a 2.4× increase, leading to a $5.50–$6.00 price range.

According to the post, this projection assumes that XRP maintains similar technical behavior and momentum under its established Gaussian Channel pattern. The price model also aligns with the trend of higher lows recorded in previous cycles.

Cycle Data Points to Reduced Downside Risk

EGRAG Crypto’s second observation addressed the concept of diminishing returns and drawdowns in XRP’s market history. Previous cycles recorded drawdowns of around 96% and 86%, showing a consistent reduction in downside movement. If this pattern holds, the next potential bear market could result in only a 76% drawdown.

image 545
Source: TradingView

Based on these figures, if XRP peaks near $6, the following bottom could form near $1.20 to $1.40. This would mark a stronger structural base compared to prior bear markets. 

Even if the asset peaks at $3.65, the projected bottom would remain near $0.87, suggesting increased market resilience over time

image 546
Source: TradingView

The data-driven forecast reflects a maturing price pattern supported by lower volatility and stabilizing cycle dynamics. The analysis concludes that long-term holders who accumulated below $0.50 remain in a favorable position within the broader market cycle.

Technical Context and Market Implications

The Gaussian Channel, often used to measure trend stability and volatility, remains a central component of the analyst’s model. EGRAG Crypto’s projections suggest that XRP may continue following its historical pattern of contraction and expansion, maintaining a structured uptrend.

While short-term fluctuations remain possible, the focus of this analysis lies on broader market cycles and the gradual decrease in price drawdowns. XRP continues to trade in a consolidation range, and according to EGRAG Crypto, the next confirmed breakout could determine whether the $5–$6 zone becomes achievable within the current cycle.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.

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