Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Profits Dip: A Sign of Cautious Optimism?

As Bitcoin hovers near its all-time high (ATH) of $112,000, set in May 2025, a fascinating trend has emerged, according to a recent analysis from CryptoQuant.com.

The platform’s latest on-chain data reveals a decline in unrealized profits for long-term holders (LTHs), with the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio dropping to approximately 220%. This figure is notably lower than the 300-350% seen during previous market peaks in March and December 2024, suggesting that the current cycle may not yet have reached its euphoric zenith.

The analysis, shared on X earlier today, indicates that LTHs are holding Bitcoin at an average realized price of $39,000, a stark contrast to the current market price. This cautious stance challenges mainstream narratives predicting an imminent crash, as noted in a Bitcoinist article dated July 2, 2025. Instead, it hints at deeper accumulation, potentially setting the stage for further upward momentum.

Historical parallels, such as the October 2024 correction where similar profit declines preceded a rally, lend credence to this optimistic outlook.Peer-reviewed studies from the Journal of Cryptocurrency Research (2024) underscore the MVRV ratio’s reliability as a cycle indicator, reinforcing CryptoQuant’s findings.

The current 220% MVRV suggests a market still in a growth phase, rather than a speculative bubble about to burst. For investors, this could signal an opportunity to hold or accumulate, especially as LTH behavior often stabilizes prices during volatile periods.As the crypto community digests this data, the question remains: Is this a precursor to a new ATH, or a warning of a correction?

With Bitcoin’s price dynamics closely tied to holder sentiment, the coming weeks will be critical. Stay tuned to Coincryptonewz for the latest updates on this evolving story.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.