- Rare 6-week LMACD bearish crossover just confirmed on Bitcoin
- Same signal preceded a 75% drop the last time it appeared
- Indicator has a 100% track record with zero false signals on bull/bear shifts
Seasoned crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino dropped a chilling update on December 8, 2025: a high-timeframe bearish signal he has long monitored just flipped red on Bitcoin. The signal comes from the Logarithmic Moving Average Convergence Divergence (LMACD) on the 6-week chart. According to Severino, the last confirmed instance of this exact crossover was followed by a brutal 75% decline over the next 365 days before Bitcoin finally found a bottom.
What makes the warning particularly stark is the indicator’s flawless historical record. Severino stresses that in Bitcoin’s entire price history, this specific signal has never failed to correctly identify the transition from bull to bear market—and it has never given a false positive.
The alert arrives after Bitcoin’s rollercoaster 2025 ride. Having smashed past $126,000 in October, the leading cryptocurrency has since surrendered major gains, recently trading in the low-to-mid $80,000 range amid fading spot ETF inflows and broader risk-off sentiment.
While some market participants still expect only a healthy correction inside an ongoing supercycle, Severino’s latest confirmation adds heavy weight to the bearish camp. If history is any guide, the coming year could deliver one of the deepest drawdowns of this cycle, potentially revisiting price levels not seen since early 2024.Traders are now closely watching critical support near $80,000 and monitoring whether any bullish divergence can invalidate the signal.
For now, the LMACD crossover stands as one of the most reliable—and feared—bearish omens in technical analysis. As always in crypto, nothing is guaranteed, but when a indicator with a perfect track record flashes red, even the most ardent bulls have reason to pay attention.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.
