From Bounce to Breakout? Ethereum Eyes $3,870 for the Next Rally

• Ethereum shows a strong recovery from $2,800 and approaches a major resistance at $3,870.
• The weekly chart signals a macro bullish structure, but the key level remains unbroken.
• The short-term 15-minute chart reveals a mild rebound after recent selling pressure.

Ethereum (ETH) recently bounced from a key support zone near $2,800, showing notable upward momentum. The price moved higher in a sustained rally, testing previous resistance areas along the way. This move reflects renewed buying interest and a shift in sentiment after earlier market weakness.

The $3,870 level now stands as a significant barrier. Historically, this price range has acted as a zone of both resistance and support. A clear break and close above this point would confirm bullish continuation and open the path toward previous highs.

$3,870 Resistance Remains Pivotal in Weekly Structure

On the weekly timeframe, Ethereum’s structure shows a series of swing highs and lows that indicate a long-term accumulation and distribution pattern. The recent move above intermediate resistance zones reflects strength in the current trend.

However, ETH has yet to confirm a breakout above the $3,870 resistance level. Price must close above this area with sustained volume to suggest bullish continuation. A failure at this point could result in sideways movement or a potential correction, especially if volume weakens.

Short-Term Chart Indicates Early Signs of Recovery

The 15-minute ETH chart from Binance shows a short-term downtrend followed by a recovery. ETH moved lower steadily, falling below the 7-period and 25-period simple moving averages. This decline reached a low near $3,530 before price began to reverse.

After finding support, Ethereum climbed above short-term moving averages. The Bollinger Bands expanded during the rebound, suggesting increased volatility. Price, however, remains under the 99-period SMA, which is a crucial level to reclaim for further upside momentum.

Volume and Moving Averages Suggest Caution

Trading volumes also increased as there was a sell-off then average activity during the rebound. The pattern of this volume indicates indecisiveness in the market and implies that some reinforcement is required when a trend is to be reversed.

To make the case of bullish intent successful, Ethereum needs to break the 99-period SMA and stay above it. The possibility of range-bound activity or retest of lower support zones might occur should this not occur. This will render the future sessions significant in the evaluation of the two short-term direction.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.