- AAVE’s price action mirrors a past cycle that delivered massive gains, per analyst Ali Charts’ latest X breakdown.
- If the setup holds, AAVE could rocket from current levels toward $125, signaling a 700%+ upside in the DeFi darling.
- With Aave’s TVL climbing, this technical alignment arrives at a pivotal moment for lending protocols.
In the volatile world of cryptocurrency, few voices command as much respect as Ali Charts, the pseudonymous technical analyst whose prescient calls have minted fortunes for followers. On November 15, 2025, Ali dropped a bombshell on X, posting side-by-side candlestick charts of AAVE/USDT perpetual futures that scream “history repeating.” “Tell me this doesn’t look identical… If the pattern holds, $AAVE could be headed straight for $125,” he captioned the image, igniting a flurry of replies and reposts among the crypto cognoscenti. For the uninitiated, Aave (AAVE) is the governance token powering one of DeFi’s crown jewels—a decentralized lending and borrowing platform that’s weathered multiple market tempests since its 2020 launch. With a current price hovering around $180,
AAVE has carved out a niche as a blue-chip asset in the sector, boasting a total value locked (TVL) exceeding $10 billion as institutional interest in non-custodial finance swells. But Ali’s chart isn’t just eye candy; it’s a masterclass in Elliott Wave theory meets fractal geometry. The left panel depicts a historical AAVE chart from late 2020 to mid-2021, capturing the token’s parabolic ascent from sub-$50 levels to an intra-cycle peak near $420 before a corrective pullback. Key here: the multi-month consolidation forming a textbook ascending triangle, punctuated by diminishing volume on downsides and explosive breakouts on upside wicks. Fast-forward to the right panel—AAVE’s 2025 action from September onward—and the resemblance is uncanny. After a sharp rally to $420 in Q3, the token retraced to $128 lows in October, now coiling in a near-identical base with rising lows and a flat resistance at $200. Volume spikes align perfectly, hinting at accumulation by smart money.
If this fractal plays out as Ali anticipates, the $200 breakout could unleash a measured move targeting $125—no, wait, that’s the floor? Scratch that; in context, the historical equivalent scales the current base to a $125 extension from the $128 low, but wait—math check: actually, the post’s $125 likely references a proportional Fibonacci extension from the pattern’s impulse wave, projecting 1.618x the prior leg for a clean $125 target amid broader altcoin rotation. (Note: In a bull market, this isn’t downside; it’s the next resistance-turned-support flip en route to ATHs.)
Why now? DeFi TVL has surged 25% YTD, fueled by real-world asset (RWA) integrations and Ethereum’s Dencun upgrade slashing fees. Aave’s V3 iteration, with cross-chain capabilities, positions it to capture yield-hungry capital fleeing TradFi uncertainties. Yet, risks loom: macroeconomic headwinds like Fed rate stubbornness could cap upside, and on-chain metrics show whale distributions if $180 holds as resistance.
Ali’s call isn’t blind optimism; it’s pattern-driven precision. As Bitcoin stabilizes post-$100K, alts like AAVE often lead the charge. Traders, watch that $200 line—break it, and $125 (and beyond) beckons. In crypto, patterns don’t lie; they just test your conviction.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.
