- $HYPE surges 36% weekly to $47.50, outpacing alts with $2.41B TVL and 40% L1 fee dominance amid bearish tape.
- Relative strength via HIP-3 staking and $90M rewards buffers downside; RSI 59 eyes $53 end-October target.
- Bear risks intact—BTC dump amplifies beta 1.2—but on-chain USDT resilience signals outperformance vs. peers.
In the choppy waters of October’s crypto correction, where Bitcoin’s flirtation with $100,000 has masked deeper altcoin wounds, Hyperliquid’s $HYPE emerges as a curious outlier. A viral X thread posits a provocative thesis: sure, one could spin $HYPE’s chart as bearish in this environment, but its structures—higher highs and resilient lows—aren’t screaming capitulation like the broader market. Instead, they whisper of downside protection, even as the poster concedes a macro bear grind lower. Trading at $47.50 after a 36% weekly surge, $HYPE defies the alt bleed, with TVL swelling to $2.41 billion and perpetual volumes hitting $58 billion—up 35.9% while rivals stagnate.
The chart in question lays it bare: a descending trendline from September’s $59 ATH, punctuated by “lower highs” that pale against Bitcoin’s dominance. Yet, zoom out, and $HYPE’s footprint tells a tale of fortitude. Unlike meme-fueled alts dumping 50%+, $HYPE’s MVRV hovers at 1.8—profitable but not euphoric—shielded by 500,000 tokens staked via HIP-3 activation, slashing liquid supply. Fundamentals? Hyperliquid’s L1 now commands 40% of chain fees, eclipsing Solana, fueled by tokenized Nasdaq futures debuting with $72 million in 24-hour volume. Stakers pocketed $90 million in rewards this month, curbing sell pressure and underscoring utility in a perp DEX that’s “CEX-fast on-chain.
“Critics, including the thread’s author, flag delusion in bagholder optimism: if BTC craters, no alt escapes unscathed. Fair—$HYPE’s beta to Bitcoin sits at 1.2, implying amplified downside. But here’s the rub: in a dump scenario, $HYPE’s on-chain activity spikes in USDT terms, as traders flock to its zero-KYC, sub-second executions amid flight-to-safety. Long-term holders control 60% of supply, their conviction a buffer where others fracture.
Technicals align: RSI at 59 signals room to run, MACD crossover bullish, and funding rates flipping negative (-0.014%) hint at short squeezes with longs outnumbering shorts 2.5:1.Projections eye $53 by month-end, $60 in November if ETF filings like 21Shares’ leveraged product materialize. Risks? Token unlocks loom ($355 million monthly overhang), and rejection at $48’s Bollinger upper band could test $43 support. Yet, in a bear market hunting relative winners, $HYPE’s narrative—AI-adjacent DeFi with real yields—positions it as the alt least likely to “still dump.” Patience pays: accumulate dips to $46, target $55. As the thread nails it, BTC leads down, but $HYPE follows with a leash.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.
